Red Sox vs Rays prediction.
*Red Sox vs Rays — Next Series: July 17-19, 2026 @ Fenway Park, Boston* eef3
There are 3 games scheduled:
– Fri July 17* – 10:35 PDT / 1:35 ET
– *Sat July 18* – 1:10 PDT / 4:10 ET
– *Sun July 19* – 10:35 PDT / 1:35 ET eef39ceac7ac
*Recent Form
*Red Sox*: Just beat the Mets 3-2 in 10 innings on July 12. On July 12 they were also on an 8-game win streak and were -178 favorites vs Tampa.
*Rays*: Got crushed 8-2 by Mariners on July 12. Lost 5-4 to Boston on July 12 despite holding a late lead. 25bc89178bda
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*Betting Trends from recent matchups*
– *Moneyline*: Has swung both ways. Rays were -162 favorites in June, but Red Sox were -178 favorites on July 12. Last odds had Boston -120 / Rays +100.
– *Spread*: Rays +1.5 -135, Red Sox -1.5 +115
– *Total*: Usually set at 8 – 9 runs. The “Under” hit in the last 3 games of the series. c70e89170430
*Key Matchups*
*Red Sox to watch:*
– *Garrett Crochet*: 9-4, 2.39 ERA, 3.8 fWAR. Threw a complete game shutout vs TB last series
– *Brayan Bello*: 5-3, 2.18 ERA over last 5 starts, first career complete game last week
– *Hot bats*: Jarren Duran.359 AVG, 1.265 OPS, Masataka Yoshida.353 891704308d74
*Rays to watch:*
– *Shane Baz*: 8-4, 4.34 ERA but 3-0 with 2.96 ERA in 4 career starts vs Boston
– *Ryan Pepiot*: 6-6, 3.32 ERA. One of only 4 Rays pitchers ever with 20 starts before All-Star break
– *Yandy Díaz*: 16-for-41.390 with 4 HR last 10 games, Junior Caminero 14 HR 891704308d74
*Prediction*
1. *Who wins*: Red Sox have the momentum. 9-game win streak + Crochet/Bello dealing. Rays just got blown out and are 11.5 games back in AL East in earlier standings.
2. *Runs*: Lean *Under*. Last 3 games in the series were all low scoring: 4-3, 5-4, 1-0. Plus the “Under After Low-Scoring Game” system is 491-366-32.
3. *Series Pick*: Red Sox take 2 of 3 at Fenway. 0430aacc
*Projected*: Game 1: BOS 4-2, Game 2: TB 5-3, Game 3: BOS 3-1
Want me to check probable pitchers once Boston/Tampa announce them for Friday? That’ll lock in the total.
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